Nike · Causal inference
Causal Uplift Targeting
Propensity models target customers who are likely to buy, including many who would have bought anyway. I replaced them with uplift models that target customers whose response is caused by the campaign, running on experimentation infrastructure I built.
- Build audience & experiment data in Databricks, growing training data from 300K to 8M+ records
- Train uplift models with EconML and CausalML
- Target customers with the highest incremental response
- Measure lift against holdouts, with reporting cut from ~3 days to ~6 hours
$19M–$48Mannual incremental revenue across 200+ campaigns